DEBT

This study investigated the impact of government debt, revenue, and their relationship with economic growth in Nigeria over the period 1990 to 2024. It aimed to examine the effects of government debt on economic growth, the influence of government revenue on growth, the impact of debt on Nigeria’s annual GDP growth rate, and the role of internally generated revenue. Secondary data were collected primarily from the Central Bank of Nigeria, Debt Management Office, National Bureau of Statistics, and World Bank databases. The methodology adopted included an econometric model estimated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and panel fixed effects to analyze the short-run and long-run effects of government fiscal variables on economic growth. Results revealed that government debt had a positive but statistically insignificant effect on economic growth in the short run, implying that borrowing provided some support to government sustainability but lacked robust growth stimulation. In the long run, debt demonstrated a negative and insignificant relationship with growth, suggesting potential crowding-out effects and fiscal risks that align with some extant Nigerian literature. Government revenue showed a positive and statistically significant association with economic growth, confirming its critical role in funding development projects and stimulating the economy. Internally generated revenue also had a positive yet statistically insignificant impact, indicating sensitivity in tax policy implementation to avoid negatively affecting production and economic activity. Based on these findings, it was recommended that the government implement prudent debt management policies to ensure borrowing supports growth without generating harmful longterm consequences. Tax authorities were advised to improve revenue collection efficiency by adopting fair tax policies that avoid overburdening taxpayers, thus encouraging sustainable economic expansion. Policymakers should focus on enhancing government revenue via effective fiscal measures to provide sufficient funds for infrastructure and development. Additionally, relevant agencies needed to strengthen internally generated revenue systems by promoting transparency and fairness, which would improve economic stability and growth prospects. These steps would help balance the benefits of government fiscal interventions while minimizing risks to Nigeria’s economic future

This study examines the effect of external debt on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 2000–2024. The specific objectives were to investigate the effect of external debt stock on the Nigerian economy, determine the effect of external debt service payments on economic growth, and examine the effect of exchange rate on the economy. The study adopted an ex-post facto research design, relying on secondary data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin, Debt Management Office (DMO) Annual Reports, and National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Data were analyzed using econometric techniques with the aid of EViews software. The empirical results revealed that external debt stock has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria, indicating that judicious borrowing can enhance economic performance when appropriately managed. However, external debt servicing exhibited a negative but statistically insignificant relationship with economic growth, suggesting that high debt servicing obligations may crowd out funds meant for productive investment. Additionally, the exchange rate was found to have a positive and significant relationship with economic growth during the study period. The study concludes that external debt, when effectively utilized and prudently managed, can contribute positively to economic growth in Nigeria. It therefore recommends that policymakers should prioritize the efficient management and productive use of borrowed funds, invest in fixed assets that promote long-term growth, and ensure that regulatory authorities monitor the country’s debt sustainability and repayment capacity to avoid debt distress.