S.O. IGBINEDION

ASSESSING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FIRM SIZE AND FINANCIAL STRUCTURE EVIDENCE FROM SMALL FIRMS IN NIGERIA

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This study assesses the relationship between firm size and financial structure evidence from small firms in Nigeria. The main objective of the study is to investigate the relationship between finance and small-scale enterprise productivity. The Ordinary Least Squares method was adopted to analyze the relationship between finance (debt finance and equity finance) and small-scale enterprise productivity (proxy with small scale profitability). Secondary data was utilized for empirical analysis. The unit root test: test for stationarity, was carried out to determine if the chosen variables were stationary at level. Estimation of the parameters' using OLS was performed and interpretations were given according to the results obtained. The result shows debt finance, equity finance and revenue have a positive impact on small scale enterprise profitability. Cost however impacted negatively on small scale enterprise profitability. Small Scale Enterprises (MSE’s) are unarguably important in developing the Nigerian economy for the following key reasons which are; social and political role in domestic creation of employment, adequate resource utilization and income generation, the efficient use of local technology and raw materials and the promotion of change in a gradual and peaceful manner. There is growing realization on the part of the Government that instead of the promotion of large-scale enterprises, it should inventively promote micro, small, and small medium enterprises. Finance is one of the factors needed by small firms to boost their level of profitability and thus their level of productivity. The growth of any industry largely depends upon the availability of adequate financing of business activities. Haven discovered from this study that the positive impact of finance on, it is therefore recommended that firms should have access to adequate funding either through debt financing or equity financing. Banks and other financial institutions should make debt financing in the form of bank loans and overdraft facilities readily available to small firms.
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co-supervisor

ANALYZING THE EFFECT OF OIL PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ON NIGERIA GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

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This study Analyze the effect of oil price fluctuations on Nigeria gross domestic product., with a primary focus on its impact on government revenue, foreign exchange rates,investment, economic growth, and overall stability. The objective is to shed light on the complex relationship between OPV and Nigeria's economic performance. Descriptive statistics were employed to analyze historical data, revealing significant insights into OPV's patterns and characteristics in Nigeria. The study emphasizes key statistical measures such as skewness, kurtosis, and normality tests to assess the distribution of OPV. The analysis reveals that OPV is a pervasive factor in the Nigerian economy, with an average volatility level of approximately 17.08. The data suggests that Nigeria experiences occasional spikes in volatility, which can disrupt economic planning. Additionally, the study highlights the potential impacts of OPV on government revenue, foreign exchange rates, investment, economic growth, budget planning, inflation, and unemployment rates. To mitigate the adverse effects of OPV, policymakers are urged to reduce Nigeria's dependency on oil by diversifying the economy, establishing a sovereign wealth fund, and developing robust risk management strategies.Furthermore, investments in infrastructure, fiscal discipline, promotion of economic diversification, and creating a stable investment climate are essential steps to reduce vulnerability to OPV. Public education about the importance of economic diversification and social safety nets to protect vulnerable populations are also emphasized as crucial components of a comprehensive strategy. In conclusion, this study underscores the need for proactive policy measures to navigate the challenges posed by OPV and facilitate Nigeria's transition to a more stable and diversified economic future.
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor

POVERTY LEVEL AND ITS IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

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This study examines the impact of poverty on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2024. Despite periods of robust economic expansion, Nigeria continues to experience high and persistent poverty rates, reflecting the country’s enduring growth–poverty paradox. Using annual time-series data obtained from the World Bank, National Bureau of Statistics, and Central Bank of Nigeria, the study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) to analyze both short-run and long-run relationships between poverty and growth, alongside other macroeconomic variables such as
unemployment, inflation, foreign direct investment, and government expenditure. The results reveal that poverty exerts a significant and negative impact on real GDP in both the short and long run, indicating that high poverty levels constrain Nigeria’s productive capacity and weaken economic performance. Granger causality tests further show a unidirectional causal relationship running from poverty to economic growth, implying that poverty significantly predicts variations in output, whereas growth alone does not substantially reduce poverty. The findings highlight that without inclusive policies targeting poverty reduction, economic growth in Nigeria will remain uneven and unsustainable. The study recommends enhanced social investment, employment generation, human capital development, and equitable income distribution as vital strategies to break the poverty–growth trap and promote broad-based economic progress.
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor

EXTERNAL DEBT DYNAMICS

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Considering the dynamic nature of 1external debts and infrastructure 1development in Nigeria from 1981 to 2020 and the country's ever-increasing debt, this study was necessary. In particular, it examined how external debt dynamics and debt servicing impacted infrastructure development in Nigeria, and how the country's external debt stock related to infrastructure expansion. Drawing from the Neoclassical Growth Model, the Harrods-Domar 1Economic Growth Model, and the Two-Gap Model, the study sought to comprehend the workings of Nigeria's foreign debt and infrastructure development. The analysis relied on 1secondary data sourced from the 1World Development Indicator, 2020. We used ARDL, ADF, and Ordinary 1Least Square (OLS) to conduct the regression analysis. The E-views software, specifically edition 8.0, was used to analyze the data. Foreign loan servicing has a 1small negative impact on infrastructure1 development, as shown by the results. Therefore, our government must diversify our economy away from its reliance on oil if we are to lessen the blow of falling oil revenues, which usually force us to take on more debt.
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor

THE IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERI

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This study evaluates the effect of government expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data of 30 years (1990-2020). The variables used for the study include recurrent expenditure, expenditure on highways, safety costs, education costs as the independent variables and real GDP as the dependent variable. Four objectives were formulated for the study and four hypotheses were also prepared in line with the objectives. Ex-post-facto research design was employed and the time series data was generated and analysed using regression analysis, Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) testing technique and Error Correction Model-based, Granger Causality, unit root test, and cointegration to examine the long run causal effect relationship that exist between government expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria. The study finds that government expenditure on highway, and expenditure on safety has positive significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria at 5% and 1% levels respectively, government recurrent expenditure has positive and no statistical significant on economic growth, while government expenditure on education has negative and no significant effect on the economic growth in Nigeria. The study recommends among others that Government should appropriate lesser portion of its expenditure to recurrent expenditure and pay more attention to capital expenditure as it is the major drive to economic growth.
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor