EXCHANGE RATE

EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA

Author(s)
Year of Publication
Publication Type
Abstract
The exchange rate is a key macroeconomic factor that affects international trade and the real economy of each country. This study made use of annual data of Nigeria from 1981-2019 to examine the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria and the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) was used to examine the relationship. The study found that the level of foreign direct investment positively and significantly affects economic growth in Nigeria, the level of government expenditure positively and significantly affects economic growth in Nigeria and the level of exchange rate volatility which is the key independent variable in the study was found to have a negative and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. The study therefore recommends that in order to regulate the tendencies of exchange rate volatility, The government should diversify the economy as well as increase industrialization and manufacturing activities , which will help reduce the pressure on the currency as the dependency effect would be reduced
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor

EXCHANGE RATE AND FOREIGN CAPITAL INFLOWS IN NIGERIA

Year of Publication
Publication Type
Abstract
This study sought to examine the effect of exchange rate on foreign private capital inflows in Nigeria. The specific objectives were to analyse the effect of exchange rate on foreign private capital inflows in Nigeria; examine influence of exchange rate volatility on foreign private capital inflows in Nigeria; and investigate the effect of domestic interest rate on foreign private capital inflows in Nigeria. The study used secondary time series data covering the period 1981 to 2019. The study adopted the Augmented Dickey-fuller unit root test, Bounds Cointegration test, Granger causality test and Autoregressive Distributed Lag Modeling technique. The findings of this study showed that there exists a unidirectional relationship between exchange rate and foreign private capital inflow. It was discovered that a bi-causal relationship exists between foreign private capital inflow and exchange rate volatility. It was revealed that causality runs from foreign private capital inflow to financial deepening and not vice versa. It was discovered that the effect of exchange rate on foreign capital inflow is mixed. It was revealed that exchange M rate volatility has a positive significant influence on foreign private capital inflows. Thus, the study recommended that the Nigerian monetary authority should come u with policy strategy to curb the volatility of the exchange rate so as to encourage foreign private capital flows into the country. Also, appropriate macroeconomic policies should be put in place to boost the size of the domestic market. An increase the real gross domestic product will stimulate foreign capital inflow into the economy. Finally, a sound financial sector is a basic pre-requisite for assessing the absorptive capacity of the domestic economy to inflow of foreign capital. Therefore, the Nigerian government through the various financial sector regulatory agencies should step up their supervisory role in the sector in order to boost the soundness of the financial sector of the economy
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor