DEPARTMENTOF ECONOMICS

EFFECT OF PUBLIC DEBT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

Year of Publication
Publication Type
Abstract
This study examines how public debt influences economic growth in Nigeria, drawing on twenty years of data covering both domestic and external borrowing. Nigeria has increasingly relied on public debt to fund development, yet rising debt-servicing obligations have created concerns about the country’s fiscal stability and the crowding-out of essential public investment. The study reviews major theories of debt and growth, highlights Nigeria’s historical borrowing patterns, and analyzes whether public debt contributes to or slows down long-term economic performance. Using secondary data from the Central Bank of Nigeria, the National Bureau of Statistics, the Debt Management Office, and international development institutions, the research assesses the relationship between public debt, debt servicing, GDP growth, and government investment. The findings show that while public debt can support growth when properly utilized, Nigeria’s high debt-servicing burden reduces the resources available for capital expenditure and weakens the overall impact of debt on economic performance. Evidence also suggests that persistent borrowing, weak non-oil revenue, and macroeconomic instability limit the growth-enhancing potential of public debtThis study examines how public debt influences economic growth in Nigeria, drawing on twenty years of data covering both domestic and external borrowing. Nigeria has increasingly relied on public debt to fund development, yet rising debt-servicing obligations have created concerns about the country’s fiscal stability and the crowding-out of essential public investment. The study reviews major theories of debt and growth, highlights Nigeria’s historical borrowing patterns, and analyzes whether public debt contributes to or slows down long-term economic performance. Using secondary data from the Central Bank of Nigeria, the National Bureau of Statistics, the Debt Management Office, and international development institutions, the research assesses the relationship between public debt, debt servicing, GDP growth, and government investment. The findings show that while public debt can support growth when properly utilized, Nigeria’s high debt-servicing burden reduces the resources available for capital expenditure and weakens the overall impact of debt on economic performance. Evidence also suggests that persistent borrowing, weak non-oil revenue, and macroeconomic instability limit the growth-enhancing potential of public debt
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor

EXCHANGERATEVOLATILITYANDECONOMICGROWTHIN NIGERIA

Year of Publication
upload
Publication Type
Abstract
This study examined exchange rate on economic growth of Nigeria from 1986 to 2020.Exchange rate is the rate at which one currency exchanges for another, it is the external value of a currency in respect to the external value of another currency.The objectives of the study is to empirically examine exchange rate and its volatility in the Nigerian economy. It will be shown in the study that exchange rate,inflation,interest rate has no significant impact on economic growth, thus making it a negative relationship. The significance of the study cannot be overemphasized as it is of great concern not only to policy makers but the economy at large. The main data used in this study is secondary; sourced from various issues of Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression technique was used to analyze the data. Also in a view to afford difficulties while carrying out the regression analysis other methods such as Augumented Dickey Fuller test and ECMwasemployed, The result also revealed that exchange rate have no significant impacts on economic growth. The result also indicated that that interest rate and inflation rate have negative impact on economic growth respectively. We recommend that the government should properly manage exchange rate in Nigeria as its volatility has the potential to distort other factors (such as lending rate, labor force and price stability) that matter to the performance of the economy.Government should also encourage approved domestic investment to accelerate growth rather than relying on foreign direct investment. Interest rate should be managed in such a way that it will encourage savings but not to the extent of discouraging investment. Government should also reduce inflation to boost economic growth in Nigeria
Supervisor(s)
co-supervisor